Pittsburgh
W-L: (26-25) PR = 90.7134Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 11- 3 206 H Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 4- 0 207 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 7- 9 207 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 12-11 208 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 1- 3 212 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 3- 6 213 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 1- 3 213 A Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 214 H Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 8- 7 215 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 2- 2 220 A Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5- 0 220 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 8- 5 221 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1- 3 221 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 8- 3 222 A Yale IVY ( 2- 5, 87.4) 3- 4 227 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 10- 0 228 A Saint Louis A10 ( 0- 1, 89.0) 2- 1 301 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 11- 7 301 H Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 5- 3 301 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 11- 7 301 H Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 5- 3 306 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 8 307 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1- 5 308 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 9 310 H Robert Morris HL ( 1- 1, 93.7) 3-12 313 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 5- 1 314 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 2- 3 315 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 5- 3 320 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 9- 8 321 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 3- 6 322 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 12- 9 324 A Ohio MA ( 5- 3, 91.9) 2-12 327 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 0- 4 328 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 1- 1 329 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 1- 4 331 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 8- 7 402 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 6- 9 403 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 6- 5 404 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 5- 4 407 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 0- 8 410 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 8- 5 411 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 2-13 412 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 7-11 415 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 1- 9 417 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 1- 9 417 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 2-10 419 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 0-14 421 A Robert Morris HL ( 1- 1, 93.7) 5- 2 425 H Dayton A10 ( 1- 8, 87.7) 8- 3 425 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 4- 1 501 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 14- 6 502 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 0-11 503 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 1- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A North Carolina Central 11- 3 8 5 + 2.88
206 H Longwood 4- 0 4 4 0.38
207 H Michigan State 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.87
207 A Auburn 12-11 1 -5 ++ 5.78
208 H Eastern Kentucky 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.25
212 A Houston 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.86
213 A Michigan 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.78
213 A Houston Christian 3- 2 1 2 -1.03
214 H Incarnate Word 8- 7 1 1 -0.23
215 H James Madison 2- 2 0 -1 1.27
220 A Army 5- 0 5 -1 +++ 6.08
220 A Tarleton State 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.50
221 A Tulsa 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.13
221 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 8- 3 5 2 + 2.59
222 A Yale 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.60
227 A SIU Edwardsville 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.57
228 A Saint Louis 2- 1 1 1 0.00
301 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.23
301 H Bradley 5- 3 2 2 -0.17
301 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.23
301 H Bradley 5- 3 2 2 -0.17
306 A Stanford 2- 8 -6 -6 0.36
307 A Stanford 1- 5 -4 -6 + 2.36
308 A Stanford 2- 9 -7 -6 -0.64
310 H Robert Morris 3-12 -9 -2 --- -6.74
313 A NC State 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 6.80
314 A NC State 2- 3 -1 -3 1.80
315 A NC State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.80
320 H Boston College 9- 8 1 1 -0.05
321 H Boston College 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.05
322 H Boston College 12- 9 3 1 1.95
324 A Ohio 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.08
327 H BYU 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.03
328 H Utah State 1- 1 0 2 - -2.05
329 A Virginia 1- 4 -3 -5 1.52
331 H Penn State 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.51
402 H Syracuse 6- 9 -3 3 -- -5.57
403 H Syracuse 6- 5 1 3 -1.57
404 H Syracuse 5- 4 1 3 -1.57
407 A Marshall 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.10
410 H Clemson 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.46
411 H Clemson 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.54
412 H Clemson 7-11 -4 -2 -1.54
415 A Ohio State 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.12
417 A Louisville 1- 9 -8 -6 - -2.42
417 A Louisville 2-10 -8 -6 - -2.42
419 A Louisville 0-14 -14 -6 --- -8.42
421 A Robert Morris 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 6.74
425 H Dayton 8- 3 5 4 1.28
425 A Georgia 4- 1 3 -8 +++ 10.72
501 H California 14- 6 8 0 +++ 7.88
502 H California 0-11 -11 0 --- -11.12
503 H California 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.12
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Robert Morris 3-12 -9 -2 --- -6.74 324 A Ohio 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.08 411 H Clemson 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.54 419 A Louisville 0-14 -14 -6 --- -8.42 502 H California 0-11 -11 0 --- -11.12 503 H California 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.12 321 H Boston College 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.05 327 H BYU 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.03 402 H Syracuse 6- 9 -3 3 -- -5.57 407 A Marshall 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.10 415 A Ohio State 1- 9 -8 -4 -- -4.12 207 H Michigan State 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.87 208 H Eastern Kentucky 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.25 222 A Yale 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.60 328 H Utah State 1- 1 0 2 - -2.05 417 A Louisville 1- 9 -8 -6 - -2.42 417 A Louisville 2-10 -8 -6 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Army 5- 0 5 -1 +++ 6.08 227 A SIU Edwardsville 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.57 313 A NC State 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 6.80 421 A Robert Morris 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 6.74 425 A Georgia 4- 1 3 -8 +++ 10.72 501 H California 14- 6 8 0 +++ 7.88 207 A Auburn 12-11 1 -5 ++ 5.78 220 A Tarleton State 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.50 301 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.23 301 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.23 315 A NC State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.80 331 H Penn State 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.51 410 H Clemson 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.46 206 A North Carolina Central 11- 3 8 5 + 2.88 213 A Michigan 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.78 221 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 8- 3 5 2 + 2.59 307 A Stanford 1- 5 -4 -6 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 11- 3 -15.04 4.33 0.74 0.48 4.82
3 H Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 4- 0 -12.07 7.30 -0.74 0.48 6.24
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 7- 9 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.48 -2.39
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 12-11 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.48 14.23
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 1- 3 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.48 -2.48
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 3- 6 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.48 -1.91
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 1- 3 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 A Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 -11.96 7.41 0.74 0.48 7.76
3 H Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 8- 7 -9.68 9.69 -0.74 0.48 8.51
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 2- 2 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.48 0.00
3 A Army ( 4- 9, 91.1) 5- 0 -8.85 10.52 0.74 0.48 10.71
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 8- 5 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.48 11.11
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 1- 3 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.48 -1.74
3 A Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 8- 3 -12.34 7.03 0.74 0.48 7.39
3 A Yale ( 2- 5, 87.4) 3- 4 -12.53 6.84 0.74 0.48 -2.80
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 10- 0 -12.36 7.01 0.74 0.48 7.38
3 A Saint Louis ( 0- 1, 89.0) 2- 1 -10.93 8.44 0.74 0.48 8.73
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 11- 7 -9.70 9.67 0.74 0.48 9.90
3 H Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 5- 3 -10.61 8.76 -0.74 0.48 7.62
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 11- 7 -9.70 9.67 0.74 0.48 9.90
3 H Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 5- 3 -10.61 8.76 -0.74 0.48 7.62
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 8 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.48 -0.67
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1- 5 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.48 -0.67
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 9 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.48 -0.67
3 H Robert Morris ( 1- 1, 93.7) 3-12 -6.19 13.18 -0.74 0.48 -1.65
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 5- 1 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.48 12.35
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 2- 3 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.48 -1.52
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 5- 3 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.48 12.35
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 9- 8 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 8.69
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 3- 6 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 -2.43
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 12- 9 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 8.69
3 A Ohio ( 5- 3, 91.9) 2-12 -8.01 11.36 0.74 0.48 -1.73
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 0- 4 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.48 -2.19
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 1- 1 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.48 0.00
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 1- 4 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.48 -1.11
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 8- 7 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.48 13.02
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 6- 9 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 -2.80
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 6- 5 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 7.24
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 5- 4 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 7.24
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 0- 8 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.48 -1.26
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 8- 5 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.48 12.02
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 2-13 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.48 -1.60
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 7-11 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.48 -1.60
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 1- 9 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.48 -1.26
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 1- 9 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.48 -0.86
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 2-10 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.48 -0.86
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 0-14 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.48 -0.86
3 A Robert Morris ( 1- 1, 93.7) 5- 2 -6.19 13.18 0.74 0.48 13.24
3 H Dayton ( 1- 8, 87.7) 8- 3 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.48 6.15
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 4- 1 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.48 17.03
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 14- 6 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 9.57
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 0-11 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 -2.21
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 1- 9 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 -2.21
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209.00
|
winning pts = 249.5367 losing points = -40.5372
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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